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Jacksonville @ Indianapolis



 

Football Betting Games

Each of the last two meetings between the Jaguars and Colts in Indianapolis has resulted in 7-point wins for the hosts



2007-11-30

Each of the last two meetings between the Jaguars and Colts in Indianapolis has resulted in 7-point wins for the hosts. Fittingly, Indy is a 7-point favorite for this week’s pivotal matchup. Both teams have favorable angles backing them. The Colts have home-field advantage, and they have played well at the RCA Dome the L2 seasons, going 14-1 SU & 11-4 ATS. The Jaguars are hot though, having won their L3 games SU & ATS by 14.7 PPG. They are also 4-1 ATS in their L5 trips to Indy. HC Tony Dungy’s team is 1-2 ATS in divisional games this year and 3-6 ATS in its L9. The lone win was in Jacksonville in week 6, a dominant 29-7 decision. With the teams separated by just a game in the standings, an extra three days of rest for the banged-up Colts could be key.

The Jaguars may be the best-kept secret in the NFL, sitting at 8-3 SU (7-4 ATS) despite a troubling lack of proven star power and a list of injuries that would kill most teams. The defense is a major concern, surrendering over 350 yards of total offense per game, but the offense, led by the beneficial talents of RBs Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew, is proving to be a tougher unit that once believed.

The Colts are the best team with the biggest hurdles thus far in 2007, facing daunting injuries to several key players but continuing to win despite those concerns. QB Peyton Manning is making lemonade out of lemons each and every Sunday, but the work of RB Joseph Addai has served as the pillar of the Colts’ success on offense. These AFC South battles are always tough for the Colts, but their overall numbers (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) indicate they are up to the challenge.

Keys to the Game
Indianapolis will have extra time to prepare for Jacksonville who is breathing down there necks. Peyton Manning has been under more pressure, holding on to the ball just a fraction longer, lacking trust in his receivers. Having David Garrard for the entire game would be a big plus for Jacksonville after missing a large portion of the last meeting. The Jaguars have never been a favorite against Indy in 13 previous contests and will test Manning early to see if he has the confidence in receivers to throw on first down, with seven or eight in the box. Jacksonville is 7-3-1 ATS in recent meetings, including 4-1 at RCA Dome.

Trends
~ Jacksonville is 10-2-1 ATS as a division underdog on the road.
~ Indianapolis is 3-12 ATS vs. poor passing defenses allowing 7.0 or more passing yards per attempt after eight games.


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